
Working Group
Indo-Pacific
Navigating the tides of innovation and influence
The Working Group Indo-Pacific examines the Indo-Pacific’s strategic significance, focusing on regional security, maritime disputes, and power dynamics between the US, China, and regional players. It analyses economic integration, military cooperation, and emerging threats. Monthly briefings provide fact-based insights and visualisations on key geopolitical trends shaping the region’s security landscape.
Working Group Members
Publications
Trump 2.0: What It Means for the Indo-Pacific
Challenges and Opportunities for the Indo-Pacific in Trump's New Era
1) What are the implications of Trump’s presidency for the Indo-Pacific? 2) Trump’s second term brings a mix of challenges and opportunities for the Indo-Pacific region, with implications for economy, security, and diplomatic relations 3) As Trump’s administration unfolds, countries in the region will need to adapt to his transactional approach and navigate the uncertainty his presidency may bring.
A Review of the Two Sessions
What to Expect in the Coming Year
1. **Main Question:** What are China's policy priorities for the coming year? 2. **Argument:** China aims for 5% GDP growth, focusing on stimulating domestic consumption and supporting private enterprises, while increasing defense spending and managing debt. 3. **Conclusion:** China faces economic challenges but is pursuing ambitious growth targets via fiscal and monetary policies and strategic sector support.
A Chain of Retaliation
China's Strategic Shift Following Liberation Day
1.How did China adapt its strategy after the US’s Liberation Day measures? 2. China initially responded cautiously to US tariffs but, after Liberation Day, shifted towards a more intense and multifaceted counterstrategy, combining higher tariffs with diplomatic initiatives to rally international support. 3. China remains primarily reactive but has increased the intensity and scope of its responses.
Navigating China after an Election
What to Expect with the New German Government
Germany’s snap election on February 23 could bring a tougher China policy under Merz, marking a clear shift from Scholz’s pragmatic approach. While Merz warns against economic dependence, Germany’s recession may force a trade-off between strategic autonomy and economic stability. With China policy increasingly shaped by Brussels, Merz must rebuild EU trust to influence the bloc’s “de-risking” strategy.
2024 - The Year the EU Discovered Southeast Asia
In 2024 both policymakers and media personalities in the EU realised the importance of Southeast Asia.
The EU has increased focus on Southeast Asia in its global strategy. The EU and ASEAN launched the €9.3 million SCOPE program for research and mobility. Southeast Asia's strategic importance offers the EU a chance to expand its influence.