Indo-Pacific

Germany’s snap election on February 23 could bring a tougher China policy under Merz, marking a clear shift from Scholz’s pragmatic approach. While Merz warns against economic dependence, Germany’s recession may force a trade-off between strategic autonomy and economic stability. With China policy increasingly shaped by Brussels, Merz must rebuild EU trust to influence the bloc’s “de-risking” strategy.

What are the policy implications of Shigeru Ishiba's premiership? Ishiba will seek multilateral agreements and seek to strengthen relationships with allies and neighbors. Ishiba has a vision for a safe, Free and Open Indo-Pacific. His government is still young and has not had the opportunity to make a change, but as a former defense minister, his policies seem logical.

What are the implications of Trump’s presidency for the Indo-Pacific? Trump’s second term brings a mix of challenges and opportunities for the Indo-Pacific region, with implications for the economy, security, and diplomatic relations. As Trump’s administration unfolds, countries in the region will need to adapt to his transactional approach and navigate the uncertainty his presidency may bring.

The EU has increased focus on Southeast Asia in its global strategy. The EU and ASEAN launched the €9.3 million SCOPE program for research and mobility. Southeast Asia's strategic importance offers the EU a chance to expand its influence.

China pledged 360 billion yuan ($50.7 billion) for Africa at the 2024 summit, focusing on infrastructure and green energy.

In 2024, several Western individuals were charged with spying for China, reflecting increased detection or activity amid strained China-West relations.

China's tech sector faces slowing growth, falling profits, and increased uncertainty, worsened by U.S. tariffs and geopolitical tensions.

In South Asia, Bangladesh and Pakistan face election controversies; India holds fair polls despite challenges.

Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba called for an “Asian NATO” to address growing security threats. However, the proposal faces criticism from ASEAN nations.

In Indonesia's 2024 elections, Prabowo Subianto and Gibran Rakabuming Raka claim victory amid controversy, raising concerns about democratic progress.

Under PM Modi, India's Diamond and Necklace Strategy counters China in the Indo-Pacific with strategic projects and alliances, enhancing regional stability and prosperity.

North Korea, driven by historic ties and strategic interests, increases support for Russia’s war in Ukraine.

The USA-Japan alliance aims to balance China's power and address the Russia-Ukraine war, ensuring peace and security in the Indo-Pacific and beyond.